Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
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Forest Shepherd
David H
Ringdrotten
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halfwise
Eldorion
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Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
ain't no way I'm going to bed until this is settled.
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Halfwise, son of Halfwit. Brother of Nitwit, son of Halfwit. Half brother of Figwit.
Then it gets complicated...
halfwise- Quintessence of Burrahobbitry
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Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
Same. It feels later since I've been watching continuously since about 6 PM but there's still a lot of time to go. Fortunately I don't have to be at work until 2 PM so I can stay up for a pretty long time.
Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
Interesting analysis from Michigan. Typically rural areas in Michigan turn out 19% of eligible voters, now it's 27%. This is the Trump effect, and we seem to be seeing a tidal wave.
Though I have to say, either number is shockingly low for a presidential election. I feel like I'm being bitch-slapped by an ivory tower.
Though I have to say, either number is shockingly low for a presidential election. I feel like I'm being bitch-slapped by an ivory tower.
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Halfwise, son of Halfwit. Brother of Nitwit, son of Halfwit. Half brother of Figwit.
Then it gets complicated...
halfwise- Quintessence of Burrahobbitry
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Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
Trump has definitely energized a lot of people to vote despite not having a GOTV operation, which is certainly a slap in the face to conventional wisdom (admittedly based on past experience). Regardless of how this pans out this is definitely much closer than I expected. While Clinton has enjoyed support in high turnout Hispanic areas, African American turnout in many areas is lower than it was for Obama and that has definitely hurt her.
Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
Apparently Politico has called Florida for Trump. One of the BBC data guys was saying there will be some Florida votes not counted until tomorrow but that probably won't be enough.
Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
Hate to say it, but Trump saying the polls were wrong sounds like truth.
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Halfwise, son of Halfwit. Brother of Nitwit, son of Halfwit. Half brother of Figwit.
Then it gets complicated...
halfwise- Quintessence of Burrahobbitry
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Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
I foresee Trump winning popular vote, Clinton winning electoral vote, shitstorm to follow.
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Halfwise, son of Halfwit. Brother of Nitwit, son of Halfwit. Half brother of Figwit.
Then it gets complicated...
halfwise- Quintessence of Burrahobbitry
- Posts : 20485
Join date : 2012-02-01
Location : rustic broom closet in farthing of Manhattan
Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
Going to be an interesting day at work today, me thinks I'll be drinking some more coffee than I usually do.
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“The Lord is my shepherd. I shall not want for nothing. He makes me lie down in the green pastures. He greases up my head with oil. He gives me kung-fu in the face of my enemies. Amen”. - Tom Cullen
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Ringdrotten- Mrs Bear Grylls
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Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
FiveThirtyEight definitely comes out of this looking much better than other polling aggregators. And while I'm not a professional my level of confidence coming into this was definitely too high.
FL and NC are clearly in Trump's column by now. The Upper Midwest and perhaps Pennsylvania will probably decide this thing.
FL and NC are clearly in Trump's column by now. The Upper Midwest and perhaps Pennsylvania will probably decide this thing.
Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
halfwise wrote:Hate to say it, but Trump saying the polls were wrong sounds like truth.
Yeah, the polls put a lot of weight on what has happened in past elections, but to assume that Obama voters would necessarily vote for Hillary was perhaps a bridge too far. I think there's a lot more potential independent and protest voters out there than the polls show .
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David H- Horsemaster, Fighting Bears in the Pacific Northwest
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Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
So it sounds like NC and FL have been called for Trump according to NPR. I'm waiting on NV.....
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David H- Horsemaster, Fighting Bears in the Pacific Northwest
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Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
Now I'm watching Michigan and Wisconsin for the "coin flip"....
![:drum:](/users/1813/32/54/71/smiles/1343409886.gif)
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David H- Horsemaster, Fighting Bears in the Pacific Northwest
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Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
It seems to be rural voters. I get the feeling most polls stuck to cities just because it's easier to get the numbers.
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Then it gets complicated...
halfwise- Quintessence of Burrahobbitry
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Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
I think that's right. My fingers may be a little closer to the pulse on this one.
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David H- Horsemaster, Fighting Bears in the Pacific Northwest
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Join date : 2011-11-18
Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
Clinton's deficit in Michigan about 15,000 right now according to NYT. That's better than it was and still a lot of votes to come from more urban areas. Not necessarily gonna get confident over this one though
Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
Holy Crap fivethirtyeight just switched to 58% chance Trump will win.
![Shocked](https://2img.net/i/fa/i/smiles/icon_eek.gif)
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Halfwise, son of Halfwit. Brother of Nitwit, son of Halfwit. Half brother of Figwit.
Then it gets complicated...
halfwise- Quintessence of Burrahobbitry
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Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
Changes fast and furious. Now up to 77% chance Trump wins.
![Shocked](https://2img.net/i/fa/i/smiles/icon_eek.gif)
![Shocked](https://2img.net/i/fa/i/smiles/icon_eek.gif)
![Shocked](https://2img.net/i/fa/i/smiles/icon_eek.gif)
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Halfwise, son of Halfwit. Brother of Nitwit, son of Halfwit. Half brother of Figwit.
Then it gets complicated...
halfwise- Quintessence of Burrahobbitry
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Join date : 2012-02-01
Location : rustic broom closet in farthing of Manhattan
Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
Comparison made to Brexit. Polls were totally off there too.
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Halfwise, son of Halfwit. Brother of Nitwit, son of Halfwit. Half brother of Figwit.
Then it gets complicated...
halfwise- Quintessence of Burrahobbitry
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Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
AAAAAAAGH WHAT IS HAPPENING!!!
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"The earth was rushing past like a river or a sea below him. Trees and water, and green grass, hurried away beneath. A great roar of wild animals rose as they rushed over the Zoological Gardens, mixed with a chattering of monkeys and a screaming of birds; but it died away in a moment behind them. And now there was nothing but the roofs of houses, sweeping along like a great torrent of stones and rocks. Chimney-pots fell, and tiles flew from the roofs..."
Forest Shepherd- The Honorable Lord Gets-Banned-a-lot of Forumshire
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Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
White evangelical turnout was highest for Trump than in history. Probably about Hillary and abortion.
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Halfwise, son of Halfwit. Brother of Nitwit, son of Halfwit. Half brother of Figwit.
Then it gets complicated...
halfwise- Quintessence of Burrahobbitry
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Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
I've got my radio on and am listening to NPR live-reporting as the states are predicted.
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"The earth was rushing past like a river or a sea below him. Trees and water, and green grass, hurried away beneath. A great roar of wild animals rose as they rushed over the Zoological Gardens, mixed with a chattering of monkeys and a screaming of birds; but it died away in a moment behind them. And now there was nothing but the roofs of houses, sweeping along like a great torrent of stones and rocks. Chimney-pots fell, and tiles flew from the roofs..."
Forest Shepherd- The Honorable Lord Gets-Banned-a-lot of Forumshire
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Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
Good point from Trump strategist. Trump t-shirts said "Make America Great Again"; Clinton t-shirts said "Hillary Clinton 2016". No clear message.
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Halfwise, son of Halfwit. Brother of Nitwit, son of Halfwit. Half brother of Figwit.
Then it gets complicated...
halfwise- Quintessence of Burrahobbitry
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Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
That's why you make your own!
Oops, image didn't work.
Oh well, here we go:
![Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus - Page 5 Giant-meteor-750x403](https://shadowproof.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/giant-meteor-750x403.png)
Oops, image didn't work.
Oh well, here we go:
![Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus - Page 5 Giant-meteor-750x403](https://shadowproof.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/giant-meteor-750x403.png)
_________________
"The earth was rushing past like a river or a sea below him. Trees and water, and green grass, hurried away beneath. A great roar of wild animals rose as they rushed over the Zoological Gardens, mixed with a chattering of monkeys and a screaming of birds; but it died away in a moment behind them. And now there was nothing but the roofs of houses, sweeping along like a great torrent of stones and rocks. Chimney-pots fell, and tiles flew from the roofs..."
Forest Shepherd- The Honorable Lord Gets-Banned-a-lot of Forumshire
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Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
![slap laugh](/users/1813/32/54/71/smiles/1074877507.gif)
![Laughing](https://2img.net/i/fa/i/smiles/icon_lol.gif)
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Halfwise, son of Halfwit. Brother of Nitwit, son of Halfwit. Half brother of Figwit.
Then it gets complicated...
halfwise- Quintessence of Burrahobbitry
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Re: Election Night 2016: The Passion of Cheeto Jesus
Are you still around Eldo? I'm west coast of course so I'm going to be up for a while longer to hear more results.
_________________
"The earth was rushing past like a river or a sea below him. Trees and water, and green grass, hurried away beneath. A great roar of wild animals rose as they rushed over the Zoological Gardens, mixed with a chattering of monkeys and a screaming of birds; but it died away in a moment behind them. And now there was nothing but the roofs of houses, sweeping along like a great torrent of stones and rocks. Chimney-pots fell, and tiles flew from the roofs..."
Forest Shepherd- The Honorable Lord Gets-Banned-a-lot of Forumshire
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